MAR

Fundamentals to Watch About Marriott International (MAR)

Marriott International logged a -0.35% change during today's afternoon session, and is now trading at a price of $167.15 per share. The S&P 500 index moved -1.5% and the Nasdaq posted a -1.47% change.

Marriott International shares moved 4.05% over the last 52 weeks, with a high of $194.24 and a low of $130.14. During this time, the stock outperformed the S&P 500 index by 10.85%. As of January 2022, the company's 50-day average price is $167.0. Marriott International, Inc. is an American multinational company that operates, franchises, and licenses lodging including hotel, residential, and timeshare properties. The large-cap Consumer Discretionary company is based in Bethesda, MD. Marriott International has returned a 0.92% dividend yield over the last 12 months.

The Company Has Brought Its Debt Under Control:

2019-12-31 2020-12-31 2021-12-31 2022-12-31
Revenue (MM) $20,972 $10,571 $13,857 $20,773
Revenue Growth n/a -49.59% 31.09% 49.91%
Operating Margins 8.58% 0.79% 12.63% 16.67%
Operating Margins Growth n/a -90.79% 1498.73% 31.99%
Net Margins 6.07% -2.53% 7.93% 11.35%
Net Margins Growth n/a -141.68% 413.44% 43.13%
Earnings Per Share $3.93 -$0.82 $3.37 $7.59
EPS Growth n/a -120.87% 510.98% 125.22%
Diluted Shares (MM) 324 324 326 311
Free Cash Flow (MM) $1,032 $1,504 $994 $2,031
FCF Growth n/a 45.74% -33.91% 104.33%
Capital Expenditures (MM) $653 $135 $183 $332
Net Debt / EBITDA 8.57 0.96 -0.24 0.07

Marriott International Is Too Expensive at Current Levels:

Compared to the Consumer Discretionary sector's average of 22.33, Marriott International has a trailing twelve month P/E ratio of 23.12 and, according to its EPS guidance of 8.66, an expected P/E ratio of 19.3. Marriott International's PEG ratio is 0.23 based on its 99.8% annual average growth rate of historical and projected earnings per share. However, we believe that it is more prudent to calculate the PEG ratio using the broader market's 5-year expected EPS growth rate of 13.05%, because the growth rate implied by Marriott International's past and expected EPS is probably not sustainable. This more prudent approach shows a PEG ratio of 1.77, which suggests that the company's shares are actually overvalued.

Marriott International's P/B ratio is 47.45 compared to its sector average of 3.12. The company is likely overvalued in terms of its net asset value. The company's shares are currently trading 1213.04% above their fair value as expressed by Benjamin Graham's formula:

√(22.5 * 5-year average EPS * book value per share) = √(22.5 * 3.94 * 1.829) = $12.73

Most of the Market Indicators on Marriott International Are Negative:

17 analysts are following Marriott International and have set target prices ranging from $168.0 to $205.0 per share. On average, they have given the company a rating of hold. At the current price of $167.15, MAR is trading -7.89% away from its average analyst target price of $181.47 per share, implying an analyst consensus of some upside potential for the stock.

The company has no information on the number of shares sold short since 2% of the company's shares are tied to short positions. Institutions own 62% of Marriott International's shares, while the insider ownership rate stands at 20%.

The above analysis is intended for educational purposes only and was performed on the basis of publicly available data. It is not to be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Any buy, sell, or other recommendations mentioned in the article are direct quotations of consensus recommendations from the analysts covering the stock, and do not represent the opinions of Market Inference or its writers. Past performance, accounting data, and inferences about market position and corporate valuation are not reliable indicators of future price movements. Market Inference does not provide financial advice. Investors should conduct their own review and analysis of any company of interest before making an investment decision.

IN FOCUS