MCD

Don't Judge McDonald's on Technicals Alone - Check Its Fundamentals!

Now trading at a price of $256.39, McDonald's has moved 2.1% so far today.

Over the last year, McDonald's logged a 3.0% change, with its stock price reaching a high of $299.35 and a low of $245.73. Over the same period, the stock underperformed the S&P 500 index by -15.0%. As of April 2023, the company's 50-day average price was $272.87. McDonald's Corporation operates and franchises McDonald's restaurants in the United States and internationally. Based in Chicago, IL, the large-cap Consumer Discretionary company has 100,000 full time employees. McDonald's has offered a 2.4% dividend yield over the last 12 months.

Wider Gross Margins Than the Industry Average of 30.07%:

2018-02-23 2019-02-22 2020-02-26 2021-02-23 2022-02-24 2023-02-24
Revenue (MM) $22,820 $21,258 $21,364 $19,208 $23,223 $23,183
Gross Margins 47.0% 62.0% 63.0% 63.0% 65.0% 67.0%
Operating Margins 42% 42% 42% 38% 45% 40%
Net Margins 23.0% 28.0% 28.0% 25.0% 32.0% 27.0%
Net Income (MM) $5,192 $5,924 $6,025 $4,730 $7,545 $6,177
Net Interest Expense (MM) -$921 -$981 -$1,122 -$1,218 -$1,186 -$1,207
Depreciation & Amort. (MM) -$1,363 -$1,482 -$1,618 -$1,751 -$1,868 -$1,871
Earnings Per Share $6.37 $7.54 $7.88 $6.31 $10.04 $8.33
EPS Growth n/a 18.37% 4.51% -19.92% 59.11% -17.03%
Diluted Shares (MM) 816 786 765 750 752 741
Free Cash Flow (MM) $6,340 $9,017 $10,365 $7,879 $11,075 $9,247
Capital Expenditures (MM) -$789 -$2,051 -$2,242 -$1,613 -$1,934 -$1,860
Net Current Assets (MM) -$31,744 -$35,016 -$52,163 -$54,208 -$51,307 -$51,015
Long Term Debt (MM) $29,536 $31,075 $34,118 $35,197 $35,623 $35,904

McDonald's has strong margins with a stable trend, wider gross margins than its peer group, and positive EPS growth. Furthermore, McDonald's has weak revenue growth and a flat capital expenditure trend, irregular cash flows, and just enough current assets to cover current liabilities.

McDonald's's Valuation Is in Line With Its Sector Averages:

McDonald's has a trailing twelve month P/E ratio of 25.1, compared to an average of 22.33 for the Consumer Discretionary sector. Based on its EPS guidance of $12.44, the company has a forward P/E ratio of 21.9. The company doesn't issue forward earnings guidance, and the compound average growth rate of its last 6 years of reported EPS is 4.6%. On this basis, the company's PEG ratio is 5.5, which suggests that it is overpriced.

Analysts Give McDonald's an Average Rating of Buy:

The 33 analysts following McDonald's have set target prices ranging from $283.0 to $383.0 per share, for an average of $323.88 with a buy rating. As of April 2023, the company is trading -15.7% away from its average target price, indicating that there is an analyst consensus of strong upside potential.

McDonald's has a very low short interest because 0.9% of the company's shares are sold short. Institutions own 70.4% of the company's shares, and the insider ownership rate stands at 0.21%, suggesting a small amount of insider investors. The largest shareholder is Vanguard Group Inc, whose 9% stake in the company is worth $17,482,573,099.

The above analysis is intended for educational purposes only and was performed on the basis of publicly available data. It is not to be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Any buy, sell, or other recommendations mentioned in the article are direct quotations of consensus recommendations from the analysts covering the stock, and do not represent the opinions of Market Inference or its writers. Past performance, accounting data, and inferences about market position and corporate valuation are not reliable indicators of future price movements. Market Inference does not provide financial advice. Investors should conduct their own review and analysis of any company of interest before making an investment decision.

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