Is Foot Locker (FL) a Better Stock Than Analysts Give Credit For?

Foot Locker may be undervalued with strong growth indicators, but the 19 analysts following the company give it an rating of hold. Their target prices range from $32.0 to $62.0 per share, for an average of $42.63. At today's price of $41.04, Foot Locker is trading -3.73% away from its average target price, suggesting there is an analyst consensus of some upside potential for the stock.

Foot Locker, Inc., is a sports shoe and apparel retailer. The mid-cap Consumer Discretionary company is based in New York, NY. Foot Locker has provided a 4.0% dividend yield over the last 12 months.

Foot Locker has a trailing twelve month P/E ratio of 9.34, compared to an average of 22.33 for the Consumer Discretionary sector. Based on its EPS guidance of 4.15, the company has a forward P/E ratio of 9.89.

The average annual growth rate of the company's historical and projected earnings per share is 40.2%. On this basis, the company's PEG ratio is 0.23. However, this growth rate is probably not sustainable. In its place we will use the broader market's estimated 5-year EPS growth rate of 13.05%, which gives us a PEG ratio of 0.72. Even with this more conservative assumption on EPS growth, the PEG ratio suggests that Foot Locker shares are underpriced.

Furthermore, the market is potentially undervaluing Foot Locker in terms of its book value because its P/B ratio is 1.045. In comparison, the sector average P/B ratio is 3.12. The company's shares are currently -33.04% below their Graham number, indicating that its shares have a margin of safety.

If analysts are shunning the stock, it's likely because of the negative outlook for brick and mortar stores, and the difficulty in effectively competing in the online space with more established online retailers.

2019-02-02 2020-02-01 2021-01-30 2022-01-29
Revenue (MM) $7,936 $8,002 $7,541 $8,946
Revenue Growth n/a 0.83% -5.76% 18.63%
Gross Margins 31.85% 31.78% 28.95% 34.43%
Gross Margins Growth n/a -0.22% -8.9% 18.93%
Operating Margins 8.81% 8.11% 4.02% 9.61%
Operating Margins Growth n/a -7.95% -50.43% 139.05%
Earnings Per Share $4.8 $4.69 $3.11 $8.97
EPS Growth n/a -2.29% -33.69% 188.42%
Diluted Shares (MM) 113 105 104 100
Free Cash Flow (MM) $594 $509 $903 $457
FCF Growth n/a -14.31% 77.41% -49.39%
Capital Expenditures (MM) $187 $187 $159 $209
LT Debt to Equity n/a 0.05 0.04 0.12
The above analysis is intended for educational purposes only and was performed on the basis of publicly available data. It is not to be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Any buy, sell, or other recommendations mentioned in the article are direct quotations of consensus recommendations from the analysts covering the stock, and do not represent the opinions of Market Inference or its writers. Past performance, accounting data, and inferences about market position and corporate valuation are not reliable indicators of future price movements. Market Inference does not provide financial advice. Investors should conduct their own review and analysis of any company of interest before making an investment decision.