MCD

McDonald's Corporation (MCD) — Expensive With Moderate Growth Indicators

McDonald's returned gains of 13.0% last year, with its stock price reaching a high of $284.98 and a low of $228.34. Over the same period, the stock outperformed the S&P 500 index by 20.0%. More recently, the company's 50-day average price was $269.09. McDonald's Corporation operates and franchises McDonald's restaurants in the United States and internationally. Based in Chicago, IL, the large-cap Consumer Discretionary company has 100,000 full time employees. McDonald's has offered a 2.0% dividend yield over the last 12 months.

EPS Trend Sustained Primarily by Reducing the Number of Shares Outstanding:

2019-12-31 2020-12-31 2021-12-31 2022-12-31
Revenue $21,076,500 $19,207,800 $23,222,900 $23,182,600
Gross Margins 52.7% 50.8% 54.2% 57.0%
Operating Margins 42.2% 37.5% 42.5% 44.6%
Net Income $6,025,400 $4,730,500 $7,545,200 $6,177,400
Net Margins 28.59% 24.63% 32.49% 26.65%
Earnings Per Share $7.88 $6.31 $10.04 $8.32
Diluted Shares 764,900 750,100 751,800 731,497
Free Cash Flow $5,728,400 $4,624,400 $7,101,500 $5,487,500
Capital Expenditures -$2,393,700 -$1,640,800 -$2,040,000 -$1,899,200
Net Current Assets -$52,163,200 -$54,208,500 -$51,306,800 -$51,014,800
Current Ratio 0.98 1.01 1.78 1.43
Long Term Debt $34,118,100 $35,196,800 $35,622,700 $35,903,500
Net Debt / EBITDA 3.12 3.73 2.59 2.81

McDonald's Has Elevated P/B and P/E Ratios:

McDonald's has a trailing twelve month P/E ratio of 32.3, compared to an average of 22.33 for the Consumer Discretionary sector. Based on its EPS guidance of $11.7, the company has a forward P/E ratio of 23.0. The 10.4% compound average growth rate of McDonald's historical and projected earnings per share yields a PEG ratio of 3.11. This suggests that these shares are overvalued.

Analysts Give McDonald's an Average Rating of Buy:

The 32 analysts following McDonald's have set target prices ranging from $270.0 to $330.0 per share, for an average of $295.84 with a buy rating. As of April 2023, the company is trading -9.0% away from its average target price, indicating that there is an analyst consensus of some upside potential.

McDonald's has a very low short interest because 0.9% of the company's shares are sold short. Institutions own 70.6% of the company's shares, and the insider ownership rate stands at 0.17%, suggesting a small amount of insider investors. The largest shareholder is the Vanguard Group, Inc., whose 9% stake in the company is worth $19,297,810,372.

The above analysis is intended for educational purposes only and was performed on the basis of publicly available data. It is not to be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Any buy, sell, or other recommendations mentioned in the article are direct quotations of consensus recommendations from the analysts covering the stock, and do not represent the opinions of Market Inference or its writers. Past performance, accounting data, and inferences about market position and corporate valuation are not reliable indicators of future price movements. Market Inference does not provide financial advice. Investors should conduct their own review and analysis of any company of interest before making an investment decision.

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