FMS

Are Analysts Underestimating Fresenius Medical Care AG (FMS)?

Fresenius Medical Care AG may be undervalued with poor growth indicators, but the 3 analysts following the company give it an rating of underperform. Their target prices range from $11.26 to $31.79 per share, for an average of $22.39. At today's price of $23.26, Fresenius Medical Care AG is trading 3.89% away from its average target price, suggesting there is an analyst consensus of little upside potential for the stock.

Fresenius Medical Care AG & Co. KGaA provides dialysis and related services for individuals with renal diseases in Germany, North America, and internationally. Based in Bad Homburg, Germany, the large-cap Health Care company has 128,044 full time employees. Fresenius Medical Care AG has offered a 5.0% dividend yield over the last 12 months.

Fresenius Medical Care AG has a trailing twelve month P/E ratio of 18.0, compared to an average of 24.45 for the Health Care sector. Based on its EPS guidance of 2.66, the company has a forward P/E ratio of 8.7.

The average compound growth rate of the company's historical and projected earnings per share is 7.7%. On this basis, the company's PEG ratio is 2.05, which suggests that it is overpriced.

On the other hand, the market is potentially undervaluing Fresenius Medical Care AG in terms of its book value because its P/B ratio is 1.0. In comparison, the sector average P/B ratio is 4.16. The company's shares are currently -23.6% below their Graham number, indicating that its shares have a margin of safety.

Why would analysts be giving such an undervalued stock a bad rating? It's possible that analysts are looking beyond common valuation metrics and taking into account the company's potentially irresponsible use of debt to operate its business. They might also believe Fresenius Medical Care AG's negative margin growth trend will continue.

2019-12-31 2020-12-31 2021-12-31 2022-12-31
Revenue (MM) $17,477 $17,859 $17,619 $19,398
Revenue Growth n/a 2.19% -1.34% 10.1%
Gross Margins 30.9% 31.0% 28.8% 27.4%
Gross Margins Growth n/a 0.32% -7.1% -4.86%
Operating Margins 12.4% 12.2% 10.0% 6.7%
Operating Margins Growth n/a -1.61% -18.03% -33.0%
Net Margins 6.87% 6.52% 5.5% 3.47%
Net Margins Growth n/a -5.09% -15.64% -36.91%
Earnings Per Share $1.98 $1.98 $1.66 $1.29
EPS Growth n/a 0.0% -16.16% -22.29%
Diluted Shares (MM) 605 588 586 587
Free Cash Flow (MM) $329 $2,145 $806 $756
FCF Growth n/a 551.98% -62.42% -6.2%
Capital Expenditures (MM) -$2,238 -$2,088 -$1,683 -$1,411
Net Debt / EBITDA 3.5 5.08 4.45 4.59
The above analysis is intended for educational purposes only and was performed on the basis of publicly available data. It is not to be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Any buy, sell, or other recommendations mentioned in the article are direct quotations of consensus recommendations from the analysts covering the stock, and do not represent the opinions of Market Inference or its writers. Past performance, accounting data, and inferences about market position and corporate valuation are not reliable indicators of future price movements. Market Inference does not provide financial advice. Investors should conduct their own review and analysis of any company of interest before making an investment decision.

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