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Don't Judge HDFC Bank on Technicals Alone - Check Its Fundamentals!

HDFC Bank logged a 1.5% change Friday to close out the week, and is now trading at a price of $65.65 per share.

HDFC Bank returned gains of 24.7% last year, with its stock price reaching a high of $71.76 and a low of $51.04. Over the same period, the stock outperformed the S&P 500 index by 10.0%. More recently, the company's 50-day average price was $67.46. HDFC Bank Limited provides banking and financial services to individuals and businesses in India, Bahrain, Hong Kong, and Dubai. The large-cap Finance company is headquartered in Mumbai, India. HDFC Bank has offered a 29.4% dividend yield over the last 12 months.

Growing Revenues With Increasing Reinvestment in the Business:

2020-03-31 2021-03-31 2022-03-31
Revenue (MM) $794,471 $966,377 $1,019,414
Interest Income $561,862,500 $693,048,100 $748,839,500
Net Margins 33.05% 32.94% 37.86%
Net Income (MM) $262,573 $318,332 $386,000
Depreciation & Amort. -$12,800,300 -$13,850,100 -$16,816,900
Earnings Per Share $141.81 $177.06 $2.55
EPS Growth n/a 24.86% -98.56%
Diluted Shares (MM) 1,835 1,841 7,792
Free Cash Flow (MM) -$185,050 $407,803 $554,694
Capital Expenditures (MM) -$16,359 -$16,962 -$26,324
Long Term Debt (MM) $1,446,285 $1,776,968 $1,554,333
Net Debt / EBITDA 1.02 0.71 0.4

HDFC Bank has growing revenues and increasing reinvestment in the business and strong net margins with a stable trend. Additionally, the company's financial statements display low leverage and generally positive cash flows. However, the firm has declining EPS growth.

Trades Below Its Graham Number but Has an Elevated P/E Ratio:

HDFC Bank has a trailing twelve month P/E ratio of 26.5, compared to an average of 14.34 for the Finance sector. Based on its EPS guidance of $3.5, the company has a forward P/E ratio of 19.3. The -52.3% compound average growth rate of HDFC Bank's historical and projected earnings per share yields a PEG ratio of -0.51. This indicates that its shares are overvalued.In contrast, the market is likely undervaluing HDFC Bank in terms of its equity because its P/B ratio is 0.21 while the sector average is 1.57. The company's shares are currently trading -92.4% below their Graham number. In conclusion, HDFC Bank's impressive cash flow trend, decent P/B ratio, and reasonable use of leverage demonstrate that the company may still be fairly valued — despite its elevated earnings multiple.

Most of the Market Indicators on HDFC Bank Are Negative:

The 2 analysts following HDFC Bank have set target prices ranging from $69.9 to $80.0 per share, for an average of $74.95 with a buy rating. As of April 2023, the company is trading -10.0% away from its average target price, indicating that there is an analyst consensus of some upside potential.

The largest shareholder is JP Morgan Chase & Company, whose 2% stake in the company is worth $2,043,523,179.

The above analysis is intended for educational purposes only and was performed on the basis of publicly available data. It is not to be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Any buy, sell, or other recommendations mentioned in the article are direct quotations of consensus recommendations from the analysts covering the stock, and do not represent the opinions of Market Inference or its writers. Past performance, accounting data, and inferences about market position and corporate valuation are not reliable indicators of future price movements. Market Inference does not provide financial advice. Investors should conduct their own review and analysis of any company of interest before making an investment decision.

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