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Short Report on Fortive Stock as Its Shares Soar

Now trading at a price of $71.83, Fortive has moved 3.4% so far today.

Fortive returned gains of 29.3% last year, with its stock price reaching a high of $71.93 and a low of $52.47. Over the same period, the stock outperformed the S&P 500 index by 10.0%. More recently, the company's 50-day average price was $65.84. Fortive Corporation designs, develops, manufactures, markets, and services professional and engineered products, software, and services worldwide. Based in Everett, WA, the large-cap Industrials company has 18,000 full time employees. Fortive has offered a 0.4% dividend yield over the last 12 months.

The Company's Revenues Are Declining:

2019-12-31 2020-12-31 2021-12-31 2022-12-31
Revenue (MM) $7,320 $4,634 $5,255 $5,826
Gross Margins 50.3% 56.3% 57.2% 57.7%
Operating Margins 13.7% 11.6% 15.5% 17.3%
Net Margins 10.09% 34.81% 11.58% 12.96%
Net Income (MM) $739 $1,613 $608 $755
Net Interest Expense (MM) -164 -148 -103 -98
Net Interest Expense (MM) -$164 -$148 -$103 -$98
Depreciation & Amort. (MM) -$426 -$384 -$396 -$466
Earnings Per Share $1.97 $4.49 $1.63 $2.14
EPS Growth n/a 127.92% -63.7% 31.29%
Diluted Shares (MM) 340 359 352 353
Free Cash Flow (MM) $1,159 $1,361 $911 $1,207
Capital Expenditures (MM) -$112 -$76 -$50 -$96
Net Current Assets (MM) -$6,350 -$2,632 -$4,434 -$3,725
Current Ratio 1.06 1.55 0.68 0.91
Long Term Debt (MM) $4,828 $2,830 $1,807 $2,252
Net Debt / EBITDA 3.5 1.11 2.72 1.77

Fortive benefits from a steady stream of strong cash flows, wider gross margins than its peer group, and average operating margins with a positive growth rate. The company's financial statements show positive EPS growth and healthy leverage. However, the firm has declining revenues and decreasing reinvestment in the business.

A Lower P/B Ratio Than Its Sector Average but Trades Above Its Graham Number:

Fortive has a trailing twelve month P/E ratio of 30.8, compared to an average of 20.49 for the Industrials sector. Based on its EPS guidance of $3.67, the company has a forward P/E ratio of 17.9. Fortive's PEG ratio is 3.31 on the basis of the 9.3% weighted average of the company and the broader market's EPS compound average growth rates. This suggests that the company's shares are overvalued. In contrast, the market is likely undervaluing Fortive in terms of its equity because its P/B ratio is 2.57 while the sector average is 3.78. The company's shares are currently trading 79.1% above their Graham number. In conclusion, Fortive's impressive cash flow trend, decent P/B ratio, and reasonable use of leverage demonstrate that the company may still be fairly valued — despite its elevated earnings multiple.

Fortive Has an Average Rating of Buy:

The 15 analysts following Fortive have set target prices ranging from $63.0 to $87.0 per share, for an average of $73.74 with a buy rating. As of April 2023, the company is trading -10.7% away from its average target price, indicating that there is an analyst consensus of some upside potential.

Fortive has a very low short interest because 1.7% of the company's shares are sold short. Institutions own 95.9% of the company's shares, and the insider ownership rate stands at 0.23%, suggesting a small amount of insider investors. The largest shareholder is the Vanguard Group, Inc., whose 11% stake in the company is worth $2,853,512,978.

The above analysis is intended for educational purposes only and was performed on the basis of publicly available data. It is not to be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Any buy, sell, or other recommendations mentioned in the article are direct quotations of consensus recommendations from the analysts covering the stock, and do not represent the opinions of Market Inference or its writers. Past performance, accounting data, and inferences about market position and corporate valuation are not reliable indicators of future price movements. Market Inference does not provide financial advice. Investors should conduct their own review and analysis of any company of interest before making an investment decision.

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