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Understanding American Financial Stocks – Key Facts to Know

Now trading at a price of $112.75, American Financial has moved -8.1% so far today.

Over the last year, American Financial logged a -5.0% change, with its stock price reaching a high of $150.98 and a low of $109.98. Over the same period, the stock underperformed the S&P 500 index by -15.0%. As of April 2023, the company's 50-day average price was $117.35. American Financial Group, Inc., an insurance holding company, provides specialty property and casualty insurance products in the United States. Based in Cincinnati, OH, the large-cap Finance company has 6,900 full time employees. American Financial has offered a 1.0% dividend yield over the last 12 months.

Growing Revenues With Increasing Reinvestment in the Business:

2020-02-25 2021-02-25 2022-02-25 2023-02-24
Revenue (MM) $6,213 $5,769 $6,552 $7,040
Interest Income (MM) -$68 -$88 -$94 -$85
Operating Margins 15.7% 7.4% 21.8% 17.2%
Net Margins 14.44% 12.69% 30.45% 12.76%
Net Income (MM) $897 $732 $1,995 $898
Depreciation & Amort. (MM) -$259 -$299 -$187 -$100
Earnings Per Share $9.86 $8.21 $23.42 $9.62
EPS Growth n/a -16.73% 185.26% -58.92%
Diluted Shares (MM) 91 89 85 85
Free Cash Flow (MM) n/a $2,243 $1,776 $1,239
Capital Expenditures (MM) n/a -$60 -$62 -$86
Long Term Debt (MM) $1,473 $1,963 $1,964 $1,496
LT Debt to Equity 0.23 0.29 0.39 0.37

American Financial has growing revenues and increasing reinvestment in the business and low debt levels. Additionally, the company's financial statements display decent operating margins with a stable trend and consistent free cash flow. Furthermore, American Financial has flat EPS growth.

American Financial Is Fairly Priced at Current Levels:

American Financial has a trailing twelve month P/E ratio of 12.2, compared to an average of 14.34 for the Finance sector. Based on its EPS guidance of $12.35, the company has a forward P/E ratio of 9.5. The 4.6% compound average growth rate of American Financial's historical and projected earnings per share yields a PEG ratio of 2.65. This suggests that these shares are overvalued. Furthermore, American Financial is likely overvalued compared to the book value of its equity, since its P/B ratio of 2.37 is higher than the sector average of 1.57. The company's shares are currently trading -3.6% below their Graham number.

Analysts Give American Financial an Average Rating of Buy:

The 3 analysts following American Financial have set target prices ranging from $150.0 to $155.0 per share, for an average of $152.0 with a buy rating. As of April 2023, the company is trading -22.8% away from its average target price, indicating that there is an analyst consensus of strong upside potential.

American Financial has a very low short interest because 1.2% of the company's shares are sold short. Institutions own 62.7% of the company's shares, and the insider ownership rate stands at 22.55%, suggesting a large amount of insider shareholders. The largest shareholder is Blackrock Inc., whose 10% stake in the company is worth $992,002,011.

The above analysis is intended for educational purposes only and was performed on the basis of publicly available data. It is not to be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Any buy, sell, or other recommendations mentioned in the article are direct quotations of consensus recommendations from the analysts covering the stock, and do not represent the opinions of Market Inference or its writers. Past performance, accounting data, and inferences about market position and corporate valuation are not reliable indicators of future price movements. Market Inference does not provide financial advice. Investors should conduct their own review and analysis of any company of interest before making an investment decision.

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