YUM

Briefing From The Editor -- YUM Stock

Now trading at a price of $122.08, Yum! Brands has moved -1.6% so far today.

Yum! Brands returned gains of 14.0% last year, with its stock price reaching a high of $143.25 and a low of $103.97. Over the same period, the stock underperformed the S&P 500 index by -2.0%. As of April 2023, the company's 50-day average price was $131.28. Yum! Brands, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, develops, operates, and franchises quick service restaurants worldwide. Based in Louisville, KY, the large-cap Consumer Discretionary company has 36,000 full time employees. Yum! Brands has offered a 0.9% dividend yield over the last 12 months.

EPS Trend Sustained Primarily by Reducing the Number of Shares Outstanding:

2018-02-22 2019-02-21 2020-02-20 2021-02-22 2022-02-23 2023-02-27
Revenue (MM) $5,878 $5,688 $5,597 $5,652 $6,584 $6,842
Gross Margins 50.0% 71.0% 78.0% 73.0% 74.0% 74.0%
Operating Margins 28% 31% 34% 28% 32% 32%
Net Margins 23.0% 27.0% 23.0% 16.0% 24.0% 19.0%
Net Income (MM) $1,340 $1,542 $1,294 $904 $1,575 $1,325
Net Interest Expense (MM) -$445 -$452 -$486 -$543 -$544 -$527
Depreciation & Amort. (MM) -$253 -$137 -$112 -$146 -$164 -$146
Earnings Per Share $3.77 $4.69 $4.13 $2.94 $5.29 $4.57
EPS Growth n/a 24.4% -11.94% -28.81% 79.93% -13.61%
Diluted Shares (MM) 355 329 313 307 298 290
Free Cash Flow (MM) -$743 $351 $1,205 $1,286 $1,621 $1,354
Capital Expenditures (MM) $1,773 $825 $110 $19 $85 $73
Net Current Assets (MM) -$9,138 -$10,849 -$11,720 -$12,054 -$12,807 -$13,113
Long Term Debt (MM) $9,429 $9,751 $10,131 $10,272 $11,178 $11,453
Net Debt / EBITDA 4.27 5.15 4.96 5.65 4.74 4.96

Yum! Brands's Valuation Is in Line With Its Sector Averages:

Yum! Brands has a trailing twelve month P/E ratio of 26.5, compared to an average of 22.33 for the Consumer Discretionary sector. Based on its EPS guidance of $5.92, the company has a forward P/E ratio of 22.2. The company doesn't issue forward earnings guidance, and the compound average growth rate of its last 6 years of reported EPS is 4.6%. On this basis, the company's PEG ratio is 5.71, which suggests that it is overpriced.

Yum! Brands Has an Average Rating of Buy:

The 19 analysts following Yum! Brands have set target prices ranging from $132.0 to $173.0 per share, for an average of $149.47 with a buy rating. As of April 2023, the company is trading -12.2% away from its average target price, indicating that there is an analyst consensus of some upside potential.

Yum! Brands has a very low short interest because 1.3% of the company's shares are sold short. Institutions own 80.6% of the company's shares, and the insider ownership rate stands at 0.1%, suggesting a small amount of insider investors. The largest shareholder is Blackrock Inc., whose 9% stake in the company is worth $3,014,581,886.

The above analysis is intended for educational purposes only and was performed on the basis of publicly available data. It is not to be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Any buy, sell, or other recommendations mentioned in the article are direct quotations of consensus recommendations from the analysts covering the stock, and do not represent the opinions of Market Inference or its writers. Past performance, accounting data, and inferences about market position and corporate valuation are not reliable indicators of future price movements. Market Inference does not provide financial advice. Investors should conduct their own review and analysis of any company of interest before making an investment decision.

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