CME

What Are the Fundamentals Of CME?

Now trading at a price of $210.32, CME has moved -0.7% so far today.

CME returned gains of 25.0% last year, with its stock price reaching a high of $221.76 and a low of $166.55. Over the same period, the stock outperformed the S&P 500 index by 10.0%. More recently, the company's 50-day average price was $209.77. CME Group Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates contract markets for the trading of futures and options on futures contracts worldwide. Based in Chicago, IL, the large-cap Finance company has 3,460 full time employees. CME has offered a 2.0% dividend yield over the last 12 months.

Exceptional Profitability Overshadowed by Excessive Leverage:

2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Revenue (MM) $4,309 $4,868 $4,884 $4,690 $5,019 $5,237
Interest Income (MM) $170 $178 $166 $728 $474 $721
Operating Margins 64.0% 55.0% 54.0% 56.0% 60.0% 60.0%
Net Margins 46.0% 43.0% 56.0% 72.0% 70.0% 67.0%
Net Income (MM) $1,964 $2,116 $2,722 $3,374 $3,490 $3,490
Depreciation & Amort. (MM) $130 $315 $311 $238 $228 $226
Earnings Per Share $5.71 $5.91 $5.87 $7.29 $7.4 $8.2
Diluted Shares (MM) 344 358 359 359 359 360
Free Cash Flow (MM) $2,324 $2,427 $2,518 $2,275 $2,966 $3,108
Capital Expenditures (MM) $117 $246 $198 $127 $90 $84
Net Current Assets (MM) -$9,624 -$9,488 -$9,024 -$7,619 -$8,219 -$7,113
Long Term Debt (MM) $3,827 $3,743 $9,051 $8,086 $8,784 $8,767
Net Debt / EBITDA 14.61 13.07 31.95 56.87 43.57 35.48

CME has strong margins with a stable trend, growing revenues and decreasing reinvestment in the business, and positive EPS growth. However, the firm has a highly leveraged balance sheet. Finally, we note that CME has irregular cash flows.

CME's Valuation Is in Line With Its Sector Averages:

CME has a trailing twelve month P/E ratio of 25.0, compared to an average of 14.34 for the Finance sector. Based on its EPS guidance of $9.4, the company has a forward P/E ratio of 22.3. The company doesn't issue forward earnings guidance, and the compound average growth rate of its last 6 years of reported EPS is 6.2%. On this basis, the company's PEG ratio is 4.02, which suggests that it is overpriced. Furthermore, CME is likely overvalued compared to the book value of its equity, since its P/B ratio of 2.68 is higher than the sector average of 1.57. The company's shares are currently trading 76.0% above their Graham number.

CME Has an Average Rating of Buy:

The 14 analysts following CME have set target prices ranging from $180.0 to $250.0 per share, for an average of $228.43 with a buy rating. As of April 2023, the company is trading -8.2% away from its average target price, indicating that there is an analyst consensus of some upside potential.

CME has a very low short interest because 1.0% of the company's shares are sold short. Institutions own 88.5% of the company's shares, and the insider ownership rate stands at 0.46%, suggesting a small amount of insider investors. The largest shareholder is Vanguard Group Inc, whose 9% stake in the company is worth $7,005,673,633.

The above analysis is intended for educational purposes only and was performed on the basis of publicly available data. It is not to be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Any buy, sell, or other recommendations mentioned in the article are direct quotations of consensus recommendations from the analysts covering the stock, and do not represent the opinions of Market Inference or its writers. Past performance, accounting data, and inferences about market position and corporate valuation are not reliable indicators of future price movements. Market Inference does not provide financial advice. Investors should conduct their own review and analysis of any company of interest before making an investment decision.

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