MOH

Insights on Investing in MOH – Analyst Perspectives

Molina Healthcare logged a -7.0% change during today's morning session, and is now trading at a price of $331.24 per share.

Molina Healthcare returned gains of 12.6% last year, with its stock price reaching a high of $423.92 and a low of $282.96. Over the same period, the stock underperformed the S&P 500 index by -11.4%. The company's 50-day average price was $321.99. Molina Healthcare, Inc. provides managed healthcare services to low-income families and individuals under the Medicaid and Medicare programs and through the state insurance marketplaces. Based in Long Beach, CA, the Large-Cap Health Care company has 18,000 full time employees. Molina Healthcare has not offered a dividend during the last year.

Strong Revenue Growth and Healthy Leverage Levels:

2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Revenue (M) $18,890 $16,829 $19,423 $27,771 $31,974 $34,072
Operating Margins 6% 6% 6% 4% 4% 5%
Net Margins 4% 4% 3% 2% 2% 3%
Net Income (M) $707 $737 $673 $659 $792 $1,091
Net Interest Expense (M) $115 $87 $102 $120 $110 $109
Depreciation & Amort. (M) $99 $89 $88 $131 $176 $171
Diluted Shares (M) 67 64 60 59 58 58
Earnings Per Share $10.61 $11.47 $11.23 $11.25 $13.55 $18.77
EPS Growth n/a 8.11% -2.09% 0.18% 20.44% 38.52%
Avg. Price $106.7 $131.87 $173.45 $259.39 $304.04 $331.24
P/E Ratio 9.22 11.13 15.21 22.75 22.16 17.52
Free Cash Flow (M) -$344 $377 $1,824 $2,042 $682 $1,578
CAPEX (M) $30 $57 $74 $77 $91 $84
EV / EBITDA 4.07 6.21 7.31 11.1 11.81 9.47
Total Debt (M) $1,458 $1,255 $2,127 $2,173 $2,176 $2,180
Net Debt / EBITDA -1.11 -1.06 -1.74 -1.97 -1.36 -1.53
Current Ratio 1.52 1.83 1.59 1.43 1.47 1.54

Molina Healthcare benefits from rapidly growing revenues and increasing reinvestment in the business, generally positive cash flows, and positive EPS growth. The company's financial statements show a decent current ratio of 1.54 and healthy leverage levels. Furthermore, Molina Healthcare has decent operating margins with a stable trend.

an Increase in Expected Earnings Improves Its Value Outlook but Trading Above Its Fair Price:

Molina Healthcare has a trailing twelve month P/E ratio of 19.0, compared to an average of 27.61 for the Health Care sector. Based on its EPS guidance of $26.6, the company has a forward P/E ratio of 12.1. The 14.0% compound average growth rate of Molina Healthcare's historical and projected earnings per share yields a PEG ratio of 1.35. This implies that the shares are fairly valued. The market is placing a fair value on Molina Healthcare's equity, since its P/B ratio of 4.04 is comparable to its sector average of 3.69. The company's shares are currently trading 89.2% below their Graham number.

There's an Analyst Consensus of Some Upside Potential for Molina Healthcare:

The 14 analysts following Molina Healthcare have set target prices ranging from $335.0 to $406.0 per share, for an average of $372.65 with a hold rating. The company is trading -11.1% away from its average target price, indicating that there is an analyst consensus of some upside potential.

Molina Healthcare has an average amount of shares sold short because 2.6% of the company's shares are sold short. Institutions own 102.1% of the company's shares, and the insider ownership rate stands at 1.1%, suggesting a large amount of insider shareholders. The largest shareholder is Vanguard Group Inc, whose 11% stake in the company is worth $2,211,045,153.

The above analysis is intended for educational purposes only and was performed on the basis of publicly available data. It is not to be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Any buy, sell, or other recommendations mentioned in the article are direct quotations of consensus recommendations from the analysts covering the stock, and do not represent the opinions of Market Inference or its writers. Past performance, accounting data, and inferences about market position and corporate valuation are not reliable indicators of future price movements. Market Inference does not provide financial advice. Investors should conduct their own review and analysis of any company of interest before making an investment decision.

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