We have noted agilon health inc.'s positive performance Friday, during which it logged a 3.0% outperformance of the S&P 500. At its current price of $28.46, the company is now trading in range of its average target price of $29.35, which calls into question its ability to keep moving higher. Analysts have given the Medical Distribution stock target prices ranging from $22.5 to $41.0 dollars per share, with an average rating of buy.
The market is more pessimistic on agilon health inc., because its short interest -- meaning the percentage of its shares that are being shorted on an expectation of a price decline -- is quite high at 23.4%. The float includes only shares that are available for public trading, and excludes preferred shares held by insiders.
Short selling involves borrowing shares and then selling them at current market prices. In the successful version of the strategy, the shares are purchased at a lower price at some time in the future. The investor then returns the shares to the lender, and keeps the profit made on the sell/buy transaction.
Another way to gauge the sentiment on agilon health inc. is to look at the percentage of institutions that are invested in the stock. In this case, 106.2% of the shares are held by pension, mutual, and hedge funds, which shows that these institutions probably have strong confidence in the stock.
If institutions are invested in a particular stock, it shows in most cases that they have performed quality research and concluded that it is a good investment. In some cases, however, increases in institutional ownership could be a sign of a takeover attempt or proxy fight, which can actually injure share prices. Also, institutions are not infallible, and can certainly make miscalculations -- often with spectacular results.
In conclusion, we see mixed market sentiment regarding agilon health inc. because of an analyst consensus of some upside potential, a buy rating, an unusually large proportion of its shares sold short, and a significant number of institutional investors. At Market Inference, we believe that any investment decision should be preceded by an in-depth analysis of the company's fundamental values and a comparison with similar stocks.
Here's a snapshot of some important facts to keep in mind about AGL:
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The stock has trailing 12 month earnings per share (EPS) of $-0.26
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agilon health inc. has a trailing 12 month Price to Earnings (P/E) ratio of -109.5 compared to the S&P 500 average of 15.97
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The company has a Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 11.3 in contrast to the S&P 500's average ratio of 2.95
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agilon health inc. is a Health Care company, and the sector average P/E and P/B ratios are 24.45 and 4.16 respectively
